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Wednesday, February 06, 2008

The Florida Election Curse?



Florida may once again be an issue of great concern for the American Presidency. This time it may not be the "hanging chad", but the “super delegates that couldn’t” who determine the democratic candidate. Florida’s demographics would seem to favor Hillary Clinton with a lot of senior citizens and Latinos. The super delegates may have felt the need to influence the outcome for Hillary, but the action by the Democratic National Committee assured this would not be the case by suspending delegates from Florida (also Michigan). If the primary is extremely close in May the DNC may end up deciding for the voters, the state and the country who wins the nominations.

Eight years ago I would have sworn to you that Hillary Clinton would be the next President of the United States. Ironically I would have never even considered voting for her at that point as she seemed to be the establishment candidate. Receiving her original support front then Senator Patrick Moynihan, Hillary went on to win the New York Senatorial election comparing it to Robert F Kennedy’s win in 1964.

During the past month many well known Senators, Hollywood stars and Kennedy Family members have made it a point to let the public know they are supporting Barack Obama.

The media tide has washed up a new era of Obama support, including additional funds of some 32 million dollars in January alone giving us a new establishment candidate. Hillary is still leading in the number of delegates with the race drawing closer. However the gains and new support for Obama may not be enough to dissuade many staunch Clinton supporters, especially among the elderly and young.

Oh yes I did want to mention the obvious, which is that all the media hype and Hollywood and Kennedy support seems to not be working. Hillary won California, Massachusetts and New York. Now to see if John Kerry helped Obama in Pennsylvania—if not then Hillary and Bill will have a clean sweep against their democratic adversaries. The Florida delegates could truly become the determining factor in the election—unless of course they are completely excluded—which would be much worse than even a "hanging chad".

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